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Jacob Calvert

I’m interested in collective behavior, which I study using probability theory and data science. Lately, I’ve been working on a principle of nonequilibrium self-organization and investigating how the behavior of a collective depends on the number of its constituents.

I’m a postdoctoral fellow at Georgia Tech and a visiting postdoctoral fellow at the Santa Fe Institute. I spent Spring 2025 as the Berlekamp postdoctoral fellow at the Simons Laufer Mathematical Sciences Institute in Berkeley, CA.

For details on my academic background and experience as a professional data scientist, see my CV or About. For more on my research, check out my Google Scholar profile, Papers, or Posts.


Random Markov chains have simple stationary distributions

The stationary distribution of a continuous-time Markov chain is generally a complicated function of its transition rates. However, if the rates are i.i.d. random variables whose common distribution satisfies certain tail conditions, then the stationary distribution is essentially a simple function of the exit rates out of each state. This is the main result of a new preprint with Frank den Hollander and Dana Randall, which generalizes and makes a precise prediction by Chvykov et al. (2021) and settles a question raised by Bordenave, Caputo, and Chafaï (2012) under certain assumptions.

Programming hierarchical self-organization

A new preprint with Shunhao Oh and Dana Randall explains how to program simple computational “particles” of different types to self-organize into corresponding spatial regions that have a given hierarchical structure. The size, shape, and hierarchy of the regions are determined by the particles’ densities and affinities for particles of different types. Proving that the algorithm works requires new techniques for analyzing the Gibbs distributions of fixed-magnetization models from equilibrium statistical mechanics.

New preprint on rattling theory

Dana Randall and I generalize and prove the main claims of an emerging physical theory of nonequilibrium self-organization, called rattling theory, by interpreting its main claims in terms of Markov processes. The result is a principle that relates a local aspect of the dynamics to the global steady state. We apply it to random walks on random graphs, spin-glass dynamics, and models of ant colonies.